I-Butterfly Effect Iholela Ekwenyukeni Kwentengo Ekuhambeni Kwasolwandle kanye Nentengo Yokungenisa Ngaphansi Komhlaba.

Ngokombiko weNgqungquthela Yezizwe Ezihlangene Yezohwebo Nokuthuthukiswa (UNCTAD), ukunyuka kwamazinga omthwalo wamabhokisi emhlabeni wonke kungase kwenyuse amanani omthengi emhlabeni wonke ngo-1.5% ngonyaka ozayo kanye nezintengo zangaphandle ezingaphezu kuka-10%.
Izintengo zabathengi baseShayina zingase zikhuphuke ngamaphesenti angu-1.4 ngenxa yalokho, futhi ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni kungase kwehliswe ngamaphesenti angu-0.2.
UNobhala-Jikelele we-UNCTAD, uRebeca Grynspan uthe: “Ngaphambi kokuba imisebenzi yemikhumbi yasolwandle ibuyele kwesijwayelekile, ukunyuka kwamanani ezimpahla okukhona njengamanje kuzoba nomthelela omkhulu kwezohwebo futhi kucekele phansi ukusimama komnotho wezenhlalo, ikakhulukazi emazweni asathuthuka.”Izintengo zokungenisa ezweni zikhuphuke cishe ngo-11%, futhi amazinga entengo akhuphuke ngo-1.5%.

 

Ngemuva komqedazwe we-COVID-19, umnotho wembulunga yonke usululeme kancane kancane, futhi isidingo semikhumbi sesikhulile, kepha umthamo wokuthumela awukaze ukwazi ukubuyela ezingeni langaphambi kobhubhane.Lokhu kungqubuzana kuholele ekunyukeni kwezindleko zokuthutha olwandle kulo nyaka.
Isibonelo, ngoJuni 2020, intengo yendawo ye-Container Freight Index (SCFI) emzileni we-Shanghai-Europe yayingaphansi kuka-US$1,000/TEU.Ekupheleni kuka-2020, lase lifinyelele cishe ku-US$4,000/TEU, futhi lase likhuphuke lafinyelela ku-US$7,395 ekupheleni kukaJulayi 2021. .
Ngaphezu kwalokho, abathumeli baphinde babhekane nokubambezeleka kokuthunyelwa, izindleko ezengeziwe nezinye izindleko.
Umbiko we-UN wathi: “Ukuhlaziywa kwe-UNCTAD kubonisa ukuthi kusukela manje kuya ku-2023, uma amanani ezimpahla zamabhokisi eqhubeka nokukhuphuka, izinga lentengo yomkhiqizo ovela kwamanye amazwe lizokhuphuka ngo-10.6%, futhi izinga lentengo labathengi lizokhuphuka ngo-1.5%.
Umthelela wokukhuphuka kwezindleko zemikhumbi emazweni ahlukene uhlukile.Ngokuvamile, lapho izwe liba lincane futhi likhuphuka inani lempahla ethengwayo emnothweni, amazwe athinteka kakhulu ngokwemvelo.
I-Small Island Developing States (SIDS) yizo ezizothinteka kakhulu, futhi izindleko ezikhuphukayo zokuthutha zizokwenyusa amanani abathengi ngamaphesenti angama-7.5.Izintengo zabathengi emazweni asathuthuka avinjwe umhlabathi (LLDC) zingakhuphuka ngo-0.6%.Emazweni athuthuke kancane (i-LDC), amazinga entengo abathengi angase akhuphuke ngo-2.2%.

 

 

Inkinga ye-Supply chain

 

I-Thanksgiving eyihlane kakhulu emlandweni, izitolo ezinkulu zikhawulela ukuthengwa kwezidingo zansuku zonke: isikhathi siseduze namaholide amabili amakhulu okuthenga e-Thanksgiving kanye noKhisimusi e-United States.Nokho, amashalofu amaningi e-United States awagcwele.Ukuvutshelwa.
Ibhodlela le-global supply chain liyaqhubeka nokuba nomthelela emachwebeni ase-US, imigwaqo emikhulu kanye nezokuthutha ngololiwe.I-White House yasho ngokungananazi ukuthi ngesikhathi sokuthenga samaholide ka-2021, abathengi bazobhekana nokushoda okukhulu kakhulu.Ezinye izinkampani zisanda kukhipha uchungechunge lokuqagela okungenathemba, futhi ithonya liyaqhubeka nokukhula.
Ukuminyana kwamachweba ogwini oluseNtshonalanga kubi kakhulu, futhi kuthatha inyanga eyodwa ukuthi imikhumbi ethwala impahla ithulule: Imikhumbi yezimpahla ekleliswe ogwini olusentshonalanga yeNyakatho Melika ingathatha inyanga eyodwa ukuma futhi yehlise.Imikhiqizo ehlukahlukene yabathengi njengamathoyizi, izingubo zokugqoka, izinto zikagesi, njll. ayisekho esitokweni.
Eqinisweni, isiminyaminya sechweba e-United States sesibi kakhulu isikhathi esingaphezu konyaka, kodwa siye sawohloka kusukela ngoJulayi.Ukuntuleka kwabasebenzi kubambezele ukuthululwa kwempahla emachwebeni kanye nesivinini sokuthuthwa kwamaloli, futhi isivinini sokugcwaliswa kwempahla singaphansi kakhulu kwesidingo.
Imboni yezokuthengisa yase-US i-oda kusenesikhathi, kepha izimpahla azikakalethwa: Ukuze kugwenywe ukushoda okukhulu, izinkampani ezithengisayo zase-US zisebenzisa imizamo yazo engcono kakhulu.Izinkampani eziningi zizo-oda kusenesikhathi futhi zakhe i-inventory.
Ngokusho kwedatha evela kuplathifomu yokulethwa kwe-UPS i-Ware2Go, ekuqaleni kuka-Agasti, abathengisi abangaba ngu-63.2% ba-ode kusenesikhathi ngesizini yokuthenga yeholide ekupheleni kuka-2021. Cishe u-44.4% wabathengisi babe nama-oda aphezulu kuneminyaka edlule, futhi u-43.3% kunanini ngaphambili.Oda kusenesikhathi, kodwa u-19% wabathengisi usakhathazekile ngokuthi izimpahla ngeke zilethwe ngesikhathi.

Kukhona nezinkampani eziqasha imikhumbi ngokwazo, zithole impahla ethunyelwa emoyeni, futhi zizame konke okusemandleni azo ukusheshisa ukuhanjiswa:

• I-Wal-Mart, i-Costco, ne-Target bonke baqasha imikhumbi yabo ukuthumela izinkulungwane zamabhokisi e-Asia ukuya eNyakatho Melika.
• Isikhulu sezezimali sakwaCostco, uMnuz Richard Galanti, siveze ukuthi kumanje kuqashwe imikhumbi emithathu, okulindeleke ukuthi ngamunye uthwale amakhonteyna angu-800 kuya ku-1 000.

 

Umnotho womhlaba usuzosimama ezinxushunxushwini ezibangelwe yilolu bhubhane, kodwa ubhekene nokushoda okukhulu kwamandla, izakhi, imikhiqizo, abasebenzi kanye nezokuhamba.
Inkinga yomhlaba wonke yokuthengwa kwempahla ibonakala ingenazo izimpawu zokuxazululeka.Ngokuhambisana nokwanda kwezindleko zokukhiqiza, abathengi ngokusobala bazokuzwa ukukhuphuka kwentengo.